Market · 9 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| asopi0xf0c2…d7f0 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| xc4940xf159…8822 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.