Market · 9 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 1,540 | 99.7¢ | $1.54K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 444 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| asopi0xf0c2…d7f0 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| xc4940xf159…8822 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 5,648 | 0.2¢ | $11 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $6 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CRE40x1c7f…5377 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4650x2479…deed | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HJBVVV60x457c…5e89 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD40x4d12…728b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GERTVT430x5053…0bdf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFERT40x5862…792a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RTGFH54650x5a7a…95ee | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HG54E0x760d…35ab | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFTD0x7726…1620 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFE34G0x7a6d…3a8c | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF30x82b9…18f1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFVGT430x8599…da77 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFEERT0x87dd…40b7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| D43T0x87ec…866f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SXCE40x953e…2798 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HGFRT4650x9812…d115 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT4350x9c13…ef84 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DVGRT4650x9eb5…90e5 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 653RT4650xa0df…b071 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT43340xbfd2…cbe0 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| EWRS30xc5be…a275 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFG45560xcf09…cd17 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFSE450xd0f9…db0a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DDR530xd89e…46f8 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| YT5640xddc7…1e87 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVDFG0xe102…6840 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 34RT4650xee02…fbe3 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4FGH650xf391…8307 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 517 | 10.8¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 399 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 272 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 146 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 80 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 60 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,124 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 40 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 34 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 30 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x456a…6105 | Yes | 29 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 16 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 11 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd...0x3e3d…5bdf | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gogogo-v30x8c17…9098 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $831K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.