Market · 6 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $32 | — |
| asopi0xf0c2…d7f0 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 736 | 0.3¢ | $8 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.5¢ | $6 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 272 | 11.1¢ | $3 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.