Market · 6 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8599…e208 | No | 44 | 99.8¢ | $44 | — |
| asopi0xf0c2…d7f0 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 3,402 | 0.2¢ | $9 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 2,851 | 5.6¢ | $7 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.5¢ | $6 | — |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| 34RT4650xee02…fbe3 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| JoyL0x0862…9a02 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 272 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 251 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 170 | 8.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 146 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 93 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9491…d473 | Yes | 74 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 60 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 34 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 17 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd...0x3e3d…5bdf | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.36 per $100 · 23,187 bets |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $890K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.