Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 102.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $768K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 4,916 | 99.9¢ | $4.91K | — |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDVC30x0edb…6cb9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.