Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 5,217 | 99.9¢ | $5.21K | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 12,423 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,500 | 5.6¢ | $7 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 50.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| vcxbbrs0x7eed…c850 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDVC30x0edb…6cb9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CRE40x1c7f…5377 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RT4650x2479…deed | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2bcc…a218 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF5Y0x2c66…40a1 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFDBVC0x3635…a429 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FD550x3f4f…5706 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RDS320x406b…e7f3 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| weewdf0x444d…58bf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| HJBVVV60x457c…5e89 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| FGHV50x4889…439f | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD40x4d12…728b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 5RE40x4efd…d195 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GERTVT430x5053…0bdf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT430x51fb…7950 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFDY40x5312…6797 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| VB530x5468…a902 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFERT40x5862…792a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CVB40x5984…fda9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DCBE0x59ae…6408 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RTGFH54650x5a7a…95ee | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT43TY0x5da5…56ac | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| CVT340x5ee4…de03 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EDFD30x6961…be88 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GF450x70ce…c0b0 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HG54E0x760d…35ab | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFTD0x7726…1620 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFE34G0x7a6d…3a8c | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF30x82b9…18f1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDBV40x8438…82d2 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFVGT430x8599…da77 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFEERT0x87dd…40b7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| D43T0x87ec…866f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EREW30x8962…f0ae | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD50x8ba7…8b09 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ERGC40x9053…5fdf | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SXCE40x953e…2798 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| wsfd0x96de…3983 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| HGFRT4650x9812…d115 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT4350x9c13…ef84 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DVGRT4650x9eb5…90e5 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 1,613 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| xaer0x6891…fe0c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 792 | 10.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | Yes | 500 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 272 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 146 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 140 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 85 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 40 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 35 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 34 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| mmy260x19da…82aa | Yes | 12 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 12 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| wwder0x3424…5d5e | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd...0x3e3d…5bdf | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.36 per $100 · 23,187 bets |
| gogogo-v30x8c17…9098 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | Yes | 3 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $832K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.