Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 105.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 2,300 | 54.6¢ | $977 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,270 | 43.9¢ | $730 | — |
| sazzaa0x12ed…c9b4 | Yes | 886 | 45.2¢ | $509 | — |
| Sarths0x811e…265c | Yes | 702 | 49.2¢ | $404 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 700 | 11.0¢ | $403 | — |
| loveelonmusk0x5545…3059 | No | 176 | 56.4¢ | $75 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.