Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $1.51K | — |
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 2,190 | 54.6¢ | $1.08K | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 1,270 | 43.9¢ | $641 | — |
| sazzaa0x12ed…c9b4 | Yes | 886 | 45.2¢ | $447 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 700 | 11.0¢ | $354 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 367 | 10.3¢ | $185 | — |
| Sarths0x811e…265c | Yes | 293 | 49.2¢ | $148 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 291 | 51.8¢ | $144 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 272 | 11.1¢ | $137 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 212 | 54.5¢ | $105 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,852 bets |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 198 | 29.8¢ | $100 | — |
| loveelonmusk0x5545…3059 | No | 168 | 56.4¢ | $83 | — |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 150 | 61.0¢ | $74 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 148 | 55.4¢ | $73 | — |
| reefv0x8d2c…465d | Yes | 130 | 48.2¢ | $66 | — |
| zion3030x2583…8c74 | Yes | 126 | 41.0¢ | $63 | — |
| 0xe83c…04ce | Yes | 110 | 51.2¢ | $56 | — |
| PiThree140xbb36…0d51 | Yes | 109 | 48.8¢ | $55 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $51 | — |
| 0x4e1c…3106 | Yes | 100 | 46.9¢ | $51 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 87 | 46.0¢ | $44 | — |
| jsjsnxxn0xe122…0b62 | Yes | 85 | 50.5¢ | $43 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 69 | 53.1¢ | $34 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 4ever010xd5f5…0d3d | Yes | 64 | 63.4¢ | $32 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 61 | 48.2¢ | $31 | Losing−$7.57 per $100 · 341,843+ bets · updating |
| 0xumbra0x9c1e…b7d3 | No | 55 | 53.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 53 | 47.5¢ | $26 | — |
| baiyanggaoqian0x381b…e2d3 | Yes | 50 | 48.2¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x0a16…1cb2 | No | 50 | 52.4¢ | $25 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 49 | 57.9¢ | $24 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 47 | 50.7¢ | $24 | — |
| kaikaishiyi0x8762…3535 | Yes | 45 | 45.2¢ | $23 | — |
| LoneForestWolf0x5cf3…fc86 | Yes | 44 | 54.1¢ | $22 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 43 | 48.0¢ | $22 | — |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | Yes | 40 | 48.2¢ | $20 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 32 | 56.5¢ | $16 | — |
| jkerkela0xde18…7ca8 | No | 30 | 48.2¢ | $15 | — |
| christopher830xa6d6…47fd | No | 21 | 53.0¢ | $11 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 21 | 45.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 46.0¢ | $10 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | Yes | 20 | 37.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x1c37…a324 | No | 18 | 56.2¢ | $9 | — |
| InkCrow0xaa91…6224 | Yes | 17 | 60.2¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 16 | 43.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| 0xffae…5c98 | No | 12 | 50.2¢ | $6 | — |
| LLLivesky0x21ca…450a | Yes | 11 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| kkadkd1920x5eaf…ea07 | Yes | 10 | 48.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 14,704 bets |
| ddlll10x6c21…be9e | Yes | 10 | 56.0¢ | $5 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| aab110xc8fd…5efa | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asfasdf1122330xe087…bc81 | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sdflll110xf1a2…516a | Yes | 10 | 56.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x874d…7fd8 | No | 10 | 51.2¢ | $5 | — |
| gendan120x4a90…c7c5 | No | 9 | 53.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 573 bets |
| cohorts0xbb5a…1537 | Yes | 7 | 46.0¢ | $3 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 7 | 47.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| 0x2dd5…15fe | No | 5 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| dddd123ab0xe81a…97ea | Yes | 5 | 47.0¢ | $3 | — |
| nobody121380x5d2c…baf2 | No | 5 | 54.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 5 | 47.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 1,978 bets |
| prasil0x7e63…38de | No | 5 | 48.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 5 | 64.2¢ | $2 | — |
| h40lzqzm0xeffd…5aa6 | No | 5 | 48.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BC.GAME0x4f61…86ac | Yes | 4 | 45.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$18.75 per $100 · 4,188 bets |
| addl120x1461…b97e | Yes | 4 | 47.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 30,008+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 3 | 37.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Priyoy0x62bc…a091 | Yes | 3 | 63.2¢ | $2 | — |
| elongoodgod0xc824…2ce2 | No | 2 | 54.5¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 2 | 47.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | Yes | 1 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 44.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.