Market · 6 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 3,820 | 91.7¢ | $3.8K | — |
| 0x172d…0294 | No | 2,150 | 91.5¢ | $2.14K | — |
| touxie0x9a03…86dc | No | 1,110 | 91.3¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0xdd16…901e | No | 1,088 | 92.5¢ | $1.08K | — |
| 0xa72b…1ad7 | No | 800 | 91.5¢ | $796 | — |
| 0xfffa…b631 | No | 630 | 91.0¢ | $627 | — |
| 0x4eda…8f93 | No | 538 | 94.3¢ | $535 | — |
| 0xe3d5…beff | No | 527 | 95.0¢ | $525 | — |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 450 | 94.3¢ | $448 | — |
| Chikan-Vladislav0xb78d…8ead | No | 415 | 88.0¢ | $414 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 415 | 93.3¢ | $413 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 394 | 98.0¢ | $392 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,861 bets |
| 0x20b6…6a36 | No | 342 | 96.2¢ | $341 | — |
| 0x745c…7c03 | No | 316 | 96.1¢ | $315 | — |
| guandaBaoFu0x64b5…34fa | No | 241 | 99.9¢ | $240 | — |
| clggzz0x94c6…7a14 | No | 225 | 90.8¢ | $224 | — |
| momo-09160x36a9…c1d3 | No | 216 | 96.3¢ | $215 | — |
| 0xfb26…d5a7 | No | 214 | 94.1¢ | $213 | — |
| 0xb6ed…8cc3 | No | 166 | 94.2¢ | $166 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 138 | 90.0¢ | $137 | — |
| fdsf670x69b4…48ed | No | 133 | 95.0¢ | $132 | — |
| sdgg760x18ef…cdf8 | No | 132 | 94.3¢ | $131 | — |
| pingfan6660x81db…48f0 | No | 120 | 99.6¢ | $120 | — |
| frsd770x8e6d…7ee3 | No | 111 | 94.3¢ | $110 | — |
| 0xcad9…c36d | No | 109 | 93.3¢ | $108 | — |
| fghth90x9f97…d277 | No | 108 | 94.8¢ | $107 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 108 | 99.6¢ | $107 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 0x4d27…7e13 | No | 108 | 94.3¢ | $107 | — |
| loveelonmusk0x5545…3059 | No | 102 | 94.0¢ | $102 | — |
| Po1yBot-sJf2mZRWnd0x5e8d…319d | No | 96 | 94.3¢ | $95 | — |
| hhh5560x2a60…55b2 | No | 83 | 94.3¢ | $83 | — |
| win-win-win990x9b2d…ff5b | No | 50 | 89.0¢ | $50 | — |
| venezuelain0xdeb2…9aa8 | No | 50 | 90.5¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x6948…bab5 | No | 41 | 93.4¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x0624…3c1d | No | 40 | 91.5¢ | $40 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 35 | 91.8¢ | $35 | — |
| str-10000xf1de…6329 | No | 33 | 94.3¢ | $33 | — |
| SupercubPA180x19a4…fa7a | No | 30 | 93.3¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 417 bets |
| 0xc948…e6cd | No | 26 | 93.8¢ | $26 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 5,013 | 4.5¢ | $23 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 93.3¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| Brotherinchrist0x6be9…3493 | Yes | 3,479 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 2,940 bets |
| sazzaa0x12ed…c9b4 | Yes | 3,418 | 9.4¢ | $15 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,321 | 50.0¢ | $15 | — |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | No | 13 | 91.4¢ | $13 | — |
| swd20260xa124…6816 | No | 11 | 93.5¢ | $11 | — |
| ChansonBalladee0xe129…c478 | No | 11 | 92.4¢ | $11 | — |
| Po1yBot-uKR6sD7a1K0x9805…2917 | No | 11 | 93.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xdaa8…4e89 | No | 11 | 95.2¢ | $11 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 1,456 | 9.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xde3a…7dd1 | No | 6 | 90.4¢ | $6 | — |
| jsjsnxxn0xe122…0b62 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 850 | 8.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe83c…04ce | Yes | 657 | 5.2¢ | $3 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 622 | 2.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Lastworld130x0c18…a04c | Yes | 526 | 10.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$20.23 per $100 · 426 bets |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 410 | 8.2¢ | $2 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 334 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| jkerkela0xde18…7ca8 | Yes | 290 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 271 | 8.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 271 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 259 | 8.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| NEEKOKRAB0xfa4d…57b9 | Yes | 250 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb307…c802 | Yes | 209 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 202 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 160 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | Yes | 136 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| broitsravi0x7413…4b09 | Yes | 127 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 111 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | Yes | 107 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LY0085240x7f00…487f | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 96 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| stapler06190x68ff…ec42 | Yes | 89 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf452…8ff9 | Yes | 86 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Sam-AI0xe008…f7d3 | Yes | 75 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| Kalkay110x6a1b…fbbd | Yes | 74 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Encryptme0xd020…2d96 | Yes | 71 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xccb7…e922 | Yes | 69 | 7.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x482f…53f7 | Yes | 63 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 60 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 54 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| KTLA0x3f55…d4b5 | Yes | 50 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 50 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 40 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| exp7incher0x29b5…a992 | Yes | 30 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tokahvill0x72be…67b8 | Yes | 30 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| h40lzqzm0xeffd…5aa6 | Yes | 21 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bibbi0x5312…9e9b | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ThePredictionMinute0x58c0…e64f | Yes | 20 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xff48…94ad | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 17 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 16 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| Csjam0x406c…1f68 | Yes | 14 | 14.6¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 4 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $816K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.