<40

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?”.

1. §1This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
2. §2For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
3. §3Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
4. §4Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
5. §5Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
6. §6The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
7. §7Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
8. §8If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.