Market · 6 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 7,015 | 4.8¢ | $452 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $323 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $323 | — |
| jfefgsgsw0x0b4e…f5e1 | No | 322 | 84.0¢ | $301 | — |
| kakdelaa0x2747…fa5a | Yes | 4,187 | 14.9¢ | $270 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $258 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 34 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.