Market · 8 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 7,015 | 4.8¢ | $305 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $217 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $217 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 4,697 | 3.2¢ | $204 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | No | 209 | 93.0¢ | $200 | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 5,361 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 3,820 | 6.5¢ | $166 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 3,681 | 4.1¢ | $160 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 3,635 | 6.5¢ | $158 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 127 | 96.1¢ | $122 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,500 | 6.4¢ | $109 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| 0xb307…c802 | No | 111 | 90.5¢ | $106 | — |
| Whyt770x9955…85af | No | 108 | 92.6¢ | $104 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,294 | 2.8¢ | $100 | — |
| kakdelaa0x2747…fa5a | Yes | 2,093 | 14.9¢ | $91 | — |
| azimutp0xc793…02a9 | Yes | 2,062 | 11.9¢ | $90 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | 1,615 | 6.7¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,865 bets |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 69 | 85.5¢ | $66 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 1,500 | 2.5¢ | $65 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,415 | 4.0¢ | $62 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| defiance-cr0xb84c…e169 | No | 60 | 91.8¢ | $58 | — |
| 0x1c37…a324 | No | 60 | 84.7¢ | $57 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 50 | 93.4¢ | $48 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 1,002 | 4.0¢ | $44 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,000 | 3.9¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $44 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 907 | 7.5¢ | $39 | — |
| Po1yBot-iwEnBba8Bs0x7c40…05ee | No | 38 | 78.9¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xc948…e6cd | No | 38 | 93.9¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xdaa8…4e89 | No | 33 | 93.5¢ | $32 | — |
| zalozhen0x186c…1d32 | Yes | 700 | 11.0¢ | $30 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 31 | 96.5¢ | $30 | — |
| jfefgsgsw0x0b4e…f5e1 | No | 29 | 84.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 520 | 21.0¢ | $23 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 509 | 5.3¢ | $22 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $22 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 498 | 4.6¢ | $22 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 96.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| jkerkela0xde18…7ca8 | Yes | 350 | 8.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 322 | 9.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 15 | 90.7¢ | $14 | — |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 305 | 4.3¢ | $13 | — |
| TaigerTeam0xd928…23ca | Yes | 300 | 18.7¢ | $13 | — |
| froku0x1e3b…e3ba | Yes | 271 | 7.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x4487…658e | No | 12 | 91.5¢ | $11 | — |
| ProsperIntelligence0x514b…6931 | Yes | 222 | 8.7¢ | $10 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | No | 10 | 89.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.47 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | No | 10 | 92.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 203 | 6.7¢ | $9 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 182 | 3.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| viso990xa623…384f | Yes | 171 | 7.3¢ | $7 | — |
| IronByte0x9484…a173 | Yes | 151 | 12.4¢ | $7 | — |
| Prrrl0xc55f…9475 | Yes | 150 | 10.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 145 | 7.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 135 | 3.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Torrentera0xd364…3216 | Yes | 125 | 8.4¢ | $5 | — |
| pupailupa0x2a9a…10ff | No | 6 | 91.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 675 bets |
| Adam11110x72b5…8b54 | No | 5 | 86.6¢ | $5 | — |
| maniacite0x977d…5d9d | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 100 | 8.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| fcxs9990x331f…923d | Yes | 100 | 22.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $4 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 100 | 3.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 95 | 7.1¢ | $4 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 4 | 96.5¢ | $4 | — |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 75 | 11.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | Yes | 75 | 13.6¢ | $3 | — |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 70 | 12.2¢ | $3 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 70 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| alienhand0xf841…2ba5 | Yes | 70 | 23.9¢ | $3 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 3 | 85.0¢ | $3 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 29 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x96e00x96e0…b648 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 3 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 55 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $831K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.