Market · 10 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 321 | 99.1¢ | $314 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,865 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 12,546 | 1.8¢ | $270 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 6,222 | 1.5¢ | $134 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $116 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $107 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $85 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 2,209 | 3.8¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,000 | 2.5¢ | $43 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $43 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $43 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 1,823 | 4.6¢ | $39 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| gkjhkjl0xa1c6…659a | No | 38 | 99.3¢ | $37 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,689 | 1.0¢ | $36 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 32 | 98.9¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gjhkj8880x44fd…cccf | No | 30 | 98.2¢ | $29 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,128 | 1.0¢ | $24 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $22 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,000 | 3.9¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $22 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $22 | — |
| 1000Usdt0x47e4…28b8 | Yes | 942 | 1.1¢ | $20 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $20 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 17 | 97.4¢ | $17 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 729 | 1.9¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 700 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 700 | 1.1¢ | $15 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 600 | 0.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 505 | 3.1¢ | $11 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 505 | 3.7¢ | $11 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 417 | 2.4¢ | $9 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 320 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 320 | 4.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Roadto1Billion0x60b0…4a62 | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $6 | New59 settled bets |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 300 | 2.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 5,361 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 231 | 2.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 230 | 1.2¢ | $5 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 200 | 3.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| AspectOfNightmares0x9ed3…bc84 | Yes | 177 | 3.0¢ | $4 | — |
| redstar19870x9ffa…c8fc | Yes | 170 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 137 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| 0x2d2d…21c1 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| runzero0x54c0…a338 | Yes | 123 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 120 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xfadb…e3dc | Yes | 120 | 1.1¢ | $3 | — |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 116 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4eb9…97f7 | Yes | 111 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 100 | 2.6¢ | $2 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 78 | 3.9¢ | $2 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 73 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 70 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $832K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.