Market
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7729770xace6…90e1 | No | 45 | 98.9¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x93e9…1b70 | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| fefvfdszb0xe164…9705 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 72,220 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,453 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 7,260 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JumpLi0x45b8…2204 | Yes | 6,268 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$28.89 per $100 · 454 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,788 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| txp111.0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | 4,715 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mattdayup0x8cf4…eaea | Yes | 3,762 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| jsjsnxxn0xe122…0b62 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 2,740 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 2,535 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,381 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 2,021 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mqpcd0x0503…0743 | Yes | 1,750 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,623 | 13.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Papuasus0x9034…4375 | Yes | 1,410 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 1,274 | 6.5¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| Horialuca0x5e0f…c18c | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 867 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| bbccJ0x828e…c21b | Yes | 715 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 666 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| nald250x72aa…4cc5 | Yes | 643 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 600 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,206 bets |
| Kurumi.chan.0x9a3f…b772 | Yes | 600 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 600 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcd30…af43 | Yes | 545 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| runzero0x54c0…a338 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | Yes | 498 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Brandy879660xbafe…b238 | Yes | 464 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| filaretou0x5a77…f859 | Yes | 460 | 7.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.55 per $100 · 730 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 440 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 434 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| bibbi0x5312…9e9b | Yes | 403 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 400 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 400 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 400 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 370 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 357 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 354 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AbhishekKashyap0x3fae…ef5f | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| viso990xa623…384f | Yes | 328 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 325 | 7.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| Oboltusova0xfb2b…cadf | Yes | 321 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| IamUnderTheWater0xc928…3493 | Yes | 304 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5c19…d74d | Yes | 295 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 280 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| InfiniiteHorizon0x0431…1af9 | Yes | 265 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| CrysttalCasscade0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | 265 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | 82 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $890K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.