Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tianjiyuyunzhilu0xc757…ccfc | No | 7,254 | 99.8¢ | $7.24K | — |
| zhenni0xade9…9ec3 | No | 6,000 | 99.6¢ | $5.99K | — |
| win-win-win990x9b2d…ff5b | No | 5,773 | 99.8¢ | $5.76K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | No | 5,383 | 99.1¢ | $5.37K | — |
| Donkolo0x43f0…1b3d | No | 4,476 | 99.9¢ | $4.46K | — |
| 0xf14e…6173 | No | 3,400 | 89.2¢ | $3.39K | — |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | No | 1,712 | 99.5¢ | $1.71K | — |
| Araminta-Sallow0xf59d…5200 | No | 1,673 | 99.9¢ | $1.67K | — |
| LinabellAccountStolen0xe9ab…fc5f | No | 1,567 | 99.3¢ | $1.56K | — |
| momo-09160x36a9…c1d3 | No | 1,300 | 99.8¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Cumberpatch0xb354…3b7c | No | 1,227 | 99.9¢ | $1.22K | — |
| rosejennie0xd9ea…c083 | No | 1,227 | 99.9¢ | $1.22K | — |
| 0xB177dvgu70xb0c3…38bc | No | 1,201 | 99.8¢ | $1.2K | — |
| AestusValueLab0xe370…58f2 | No | 1,007 | 98.5¢ | $1K | — |
| xiaojido2020xb26f…5b27 | No | 1,000 | 99.7¢ | $998 | — |
| 0xb307…c802 | No | 672 | 90.7¢ | $670 | — |
| 0x2CA0x2cad…c773 | No | 500 | 99.9¢ | $499 | — |
| venezuelain0xdeb2…9aa8 | No | 500 | 98.7¢ | $499 | — |
| Krag6760xba53…79c7 | No | 399 | 99.8¢ | $398 | — |
| captainzhang0xc8f0…835c | No | 313 | 96.1¢ | $312 | — |
| chuanqian0x9307…8910 | No | 189 | 95.5¢ | $188 | — |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 162 | 95.2¢ | $162 | — |
| defiance-cr0xb84c…e169 | No | 95 | 89.4¢ | $95 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 32,864 | 0.5¢ | $82 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| IgorBabich0x78e7…47da | No | 64 | 88.4¢ | $64 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 49 | 99.7¢ | $49 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 7729770xace6…90e1 | No | 45 | 98.9¢ | $44 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 94.6¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| BabaVanga-8510xab26…9656 | No | 40 | 95.0¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xdaa8…4e89 | No | 34 | 91.5¢ | $34 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 33 | 98.6¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xc948…e6cd | No | 32 | 91.3¢ | $32 | — |
| LabEma0x1d7c…ef17 | No | 30 | 90.8¢ | $30 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 10,453 | 8.4¢ | $26 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| 0xdab2…62be | No | 26 | 99.6¢ | $26 | — |
| YH7567dsad0x6f9a…9db6 | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 25 | 99.1¢ | $24 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 9,444 | 18.9¢ | $24 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| black45620x9242…a140 | No | 23 | 96.8¢ | $23 | — |
| Eric6660xf0e7…6c2f | No | 22 | 90.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x5c56…2cda | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | New89 settled bets |
| 0x93e9…1b70 | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| str-10000xf1de…6329 | No | 21 | 96.4¢ | $21 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 96.9¢ | $21 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 7,260 | 1.0¢ | $18 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 6,708 | 1.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| JumpLi0x45b8…2204 | Yes | 6,268 | 0.5¢ | $16 | — |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | No | 15 | 95.2¢ | $15 | — |
| aaronyi09170x98fe…a726 | No | 14 | 98.8¢ | $14 | — |
| htyhdfg0x601b…ed94 | No | 13 | 99.9¢ | $13 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | No | 12 | 98.1¢ | $12 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,788 | 3.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| 0x586a…7a48 | No | 11 | 91.5¢ | $11 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 4,338 | 0.2¢ | $11 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 4,155 | 1.8¢ | $10 | — |
| mattdayup0x8cf4…eaea | Yes | 3,762 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,700 | 4.3¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $8 | — |
| jsjsnxxn0xe122…0b62 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.5¢ | $8 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 2,740 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $6 | — |
| broitsravi0x7413…4b09 | Yes | 2,169 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 2,123 | 1.7¢ | $5 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 2,021 | 7.0¢ | $5 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.1¢ | $5 | — |
| mqpcd0x0503…0743 | Yes | 1,750 | 0.5¢ | $4 | — |
| txp111.0xaa7e…0332 | Yes | 1,715 | 8.0¢ | $4 | — |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,623 | 13.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Papuasus0x9034…4375 | Yes | 1,410 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 1,285 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 1,274 | 6.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Horialuca0x5e0f…c18c | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 867 | 5.9¢ | $2 | — |
| bbccJ0x828e…c21b | Yes | 715 | 3.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 700 | 3.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 666 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| nald250x72aa…4cc5 | Yes | 643 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 600 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 600 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xcd30…af43 | Yes | 545 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 509 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| runzero0x54c0…a338 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| baskey0xbd21…5b8a | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 470 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Brandy879660xbafe…b238 | Yes | 464 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 461 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| filaretou0x5a77…f859 | Yes | 460 | 7.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.16 per $100 · 727 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 440 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| bibbi0x5312…9e9b | Yes | 403 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 400 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 400 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 400 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 360 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | Yes | 354 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| AbhishekKashyap0x3fae…ef5f | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| viso990xa623…384f | Yes | 328 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 5 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.