Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 102.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FFIE.0x5a45…f628 | Yes | 6,552 | 81.6¢ | $5.77K | — |
| lilith2750x7db0…8c18 | Yes | 1,957 | 65.3¢ | $1.72K | Proven+$5.07 per $100 · 376 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d |
| Yes |
| 725 |
| 24.9¢ |
| $638 |
| — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 708 | 9.0¢ | $623 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 663 | 55.7¢ | $583 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 531 | 32.6¢ | $468 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 7 shares each side · Show
|
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $890K in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.