Market · 11 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jkecilo0x99a1…913f | No | 647 | 99.9¢ | $646 | — |
| cutguhj0xea03…0e43 | No | 481 | 99.9¢ | $481 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | No | 71 | 99.7¢ | $71 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| lilith2750x7db0…8c18 | No | 14 | 99.6¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.07 per $100 · 376 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $892K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 103.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.