Market · 12 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 559 | 98.8¢ | $558 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xb764…51dd | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | $100 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.1¢ | $18 | — |
| mit1200x71db…aba8 | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Modeng0xf7b9…153c | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.