Market · 7 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 32 | 95.0¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 97.5¢ | $18 | — |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,633 | 2.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 1,020 | 2.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 84sfs0x4b4c…c67d | No | 6 | 89.0¢ | $6 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 102.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.