Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 192 | 99.3¢ | $192 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.6¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,894 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,800 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 806 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.