Market · 5 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 55 | 89.6¢ | $54 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 54 | 98.3¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 35 | 99.0¢ | $35 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,076 | 9.4¢ | $31 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 97.8¢ | $18 | — |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 1,200 | 2.3¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.