Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 304 | 99.2¢ | $304 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 98.6¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 2,000 | 1.1¢ | $3 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 1,724 | 1.7¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,100 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.