Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 304 | 99.2¢ | $304 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 98.6¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 2,000 | 1.1¢ | $3 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 1,724 | 1.7¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,100 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 647 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 625 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 441 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xM11tsuki0x7c2c…407e | Yes | 397 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$219.08 per $100 · 3,102 bets |
| 0xa775…334e | Yes | 355 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 167 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 145 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 142 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 110 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.12 per $100 · 12,860 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 100 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ryzq1120x2225…bee7 | Yes | 91 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 655 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 75 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 52 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,746 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 48 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Yoyobinks0x5e6a…97f2 | Yes | 10 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,499 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.