Market · 4 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 105 | 80.4¢ | $103 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 50 | 90.0¢ | $49 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 46 | 96.1¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 41 | 96.6¢ | $40 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,370 | 2.3¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,227 | 7.4¢ | $36 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.