Market · 4 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 105 | 80.4¢ | $103 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,710 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 50 | 90.0¢ | $49 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 46 | 96.1¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 41 | 96.6¢ | $40 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,370 | 2.3¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,227 | 7.4¢ | $35 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 19 | 97.4¢ | $18 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 881 | 3.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 744 | 5.3¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 74.0¢ | $10 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 73.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 431 | 17.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 84sfs0x4b4c…c67d | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 87sdgfds0xec52…a4a4 | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $6 | — |
| EonGlobe0x48f5…c9d3 | No | 6 | 90.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 5 | 83.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 237 | 1.6¢ | $4 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 226 | 8.4¢ | $4 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 182 | 4.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 160 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 2,058 bets |
| Zenef0x5b24…f36a | Yes | 100 | 15.6¢ | $2 | — |
| hhham0x5ad3…eb27 | Yes | 68 | 18.6¢ | $1 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 67 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 60 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 76.4¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 56 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 53 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 11.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xd1fe…ed6f | Yes | 51 | 4.1¢ | $1 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7003…7ca4 | Yes | 50 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x16b4…1ec6 | Yes | 31 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 31 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| Kot.ua0x770a…0eca | Yes | 30 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5984…2593 | Yes | 26 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Vophsi0xac17…7afc | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 25 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Ghiwapee0x0122…926f | Yes | 24 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 24 | 11.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xccb7…e922 | Yes | 23 | 26.5¢ | $0 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 23 | 10.1¢ | $0 | — |
| slysky0xf281…1a5a | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Sunnex120x4858…eed2 | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 0 | 83.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| MankuJ0x6634…06c1 | Yes | 13 | 15.6¢ | $0 | — |
| damirjan0x736e…7101 | Yes | 10 | 15.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Boycrrypt0x7b3b…6453 | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| undebal0xc145…32bb | Yes | 10 | 13.6¢ | $0 | — |
| aman110xe80f…1b66 | Yes | 10 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| amman0x3d48…4385 | Yes | 10 | 10.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 9 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| 0x10be…aee1 | Yes | 7 | 15.7¢ | $0 | — |
| iammlucky0x0b17…fecc | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 4 | 13.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | Yes | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 9,815 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 1 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 0 | 13.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,099 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $768K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.