Market · 6 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,737 | 9.4¢ | $40 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,289 | 2.4¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 98.2¢ | $18 | — |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 17 | 98.3¢ | $17 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 12 | 98.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 770 | 3.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.