Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 192 | 99.3¢ | $192 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.6¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,894 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,800 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 806 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 670 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xM11tsuki0x7c2c…407e | Yes | 605 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$219.08 per $100 · 3,102 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 603 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | 444 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 434 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 371 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 173 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| cheezbu0x7150…bb18 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.65 per $100 · 533 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 90 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6ced…6ffb | Yes | 77 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 77 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 40 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 36 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| Yoyobinks0x5e6a…97f2 | Yes | 30 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,499 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.