Market · 12 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 559 | 98.8¢ | $558 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xb764…51dd | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | $100 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.1¢ | $18 | — |
| mit1200x71db…aba8 | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Modeng0xf7b9…153c | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,694 | 2.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,347 | 1.2¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 2 | 97.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 951 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | No | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 605 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 400 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 299 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
| 0xa775…334e | Yes | 161 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 160 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 160 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xM11tsuki0x7c2c…407e | Yes | 156 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$219.08 per $100 · 3,102 bets |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.0x2200…474f | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 115 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 92 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 67 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,746 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 58 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 56 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 49 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| hallways0xa989…bb4d | Yes | 43 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Yoyobinks0x5e6a…97f2 | Yes | 40 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 34 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 26 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 16 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $720K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.