Market
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,023 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 1,134 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| drochka0x2d67…1a08 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 418 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 103.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $892K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.