Market
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,023 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 1,134 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| drochka0x2d67…1a08 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 418 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 320 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 290 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 260 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,301 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 67 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | 57 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 54 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,665 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.07 per $100 · 12,069 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 19 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 16 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 9 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 0 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.