Market · 3 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,902 | 9.4¢ | $122 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,312 | 3.0¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 47 | 90.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.3¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 39 | 96.9¢ | $37 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 801 | 3.8¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| poposd0xf512…0985 | No | 35 | 95.0¢ | $34 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 30 | 97.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 22 | 94.5¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 19 | 96.4¢ | $18 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 357 | 9.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 355 | 6.7¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.68 per $100 · 1,872 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 316 | 2.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 266 | 10.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xVeywa0xc622…e1a4 | Yes | 155 | 7.7¢ | $7 | — |
| BenjiPredicts0x9f5e…343c | Yes | 143 | 7.3¢ | $6 | — |
| EonGlobe0x48f5…c9d3 | No | 6 | 86.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 87sdgfds0xec52…a4a4 | No | 6 | 86.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 84sfs0x4b4c…c67d | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 119 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| Zenef0x5b24…f36a | Yes | 107 | 14.6¢ | $5 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 84 | 12.5¢ | $4 | — |
| hhham0x5ad3…eb27 | Yes | 76 | 14.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 72 | 5.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| undebal0xc145…32bb | Yes | 53 | 11.2¢ | $2 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| YourAnimeGirl0xad70…4ccf | Yes | 50 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Kot.ua0x770a…0eca | Yes | 43 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Mazemeshane0x3100…c8e2 | Yes | 36 | 14.4¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 30 | 3.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 26 | 4.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ge13140x7840…8b6e | Yes | 25 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Fuadkrm70x77d5…eace | Yes | 23 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| filaretou0x5a77…f859 | Yes | 22 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.16 per $100 · 727 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 93.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 21 | 13.8¢ | $1 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 20 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| damirjan0x736e…7101 | Yes | 13 | 15.6¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 12 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 14.1¢ | $0 | — |
| newbiejjh0x17bd…6550 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| iammlucky0x0b17…fecc | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | Yes | 2 | 13.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,885+ bets · updating |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $816K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.