Market · 17 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 546tybc0x0406…0ed5 | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | — |
| nczafegdf0x49a5…9203 | No | 43 | 99.9¢ | $43 | — |
| 64654khgjg0xc31c…e921 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| rrtazxbf7sdh60x48e3…fa90 | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | — |
| mmxegffds60x53ec…80a8 | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| papala0x96f2…8d64 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.