Market · 14 of 21 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 102.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 460 | 99.2¢ | $458 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 363 | 99.3¢ | $362 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,854 bets |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | No | 290 | 99.5¢ | $289 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 50 | 98.2¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| gjhj66l0x737c…0318 | No | 35 | 99.4¢ | $35 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 9,660 | 0.5¢ | $34 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $768K in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.