Market · 11 of 21 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 382 | 98.8¢ | $372 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,861 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 12,696 | 1.5¢ | $336 | — |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $143 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $133 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $105 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 3,889 | 2.0¢ | $103 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $831K in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.