Market · 11 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 350 | 98.9¢ | $346 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,867 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 12,696 | 1.5¢ | $146 | — |
| gjhkk660x742a…3c6d | No | 105 | 99.0¢ | $104 | — |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $62 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $58 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 50 | 97.9¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $45 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 3,889 | 2.0¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 4,042 bets |
| zzxcvv0x6653…34cc | No | 40 | 99.3¢ | $40 | — |
| fghk9990xc376…1c60 | No | 35 | 99.3¢ | $35 | — |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 2,500 | 2.1¢ | $29 | — |
| tuiohkjk0x3318…ba67 | No | 29 | 99.0¢ | $29 | — |
| gjhknm0x434b…6a79 | No | 27 | 99.3¢ | $27 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 2,152 | 4.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 2,092 | 0.5¢ | $24 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 2,068 | 3.7¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,000 | 2.5¢ | $23 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $23 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $23 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| ghkjl770xc07f…d132 | No | 23 | 99.3¢ | $23 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 96.4¢ | $21 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,527 | 1.3¢ | $18 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,450 | 1.2¢ | $17 | — |
| werden0x0ccf…e9d6 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| InsideR50x17f1…0528 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 900 | 3.9¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 817 | 2.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 800 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 729 | 1.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| 0xf825…2e2b | Yes | 666 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 1000Usdt0x47e4…28b8 | Yes | 513 | 2.9¢ | $6 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 500 | 3.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $6 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 329 | 2.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| Roadto1Billion0x60b0…4a62 | Yes | 300 | 0.2¢ | $3 | New61 settled bets |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 294 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| AspectOfNightmares0x9ed3…bc84 | Yes | 235 | 1.8¢ | $3 | — |
| MailAJ-Long-Term0xda4d…c8ee | Yes | 220 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 158 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 137 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Lamegawi0xb0e1…0fa0 | Yes | 135 | 2.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 120 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 120 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,038 bets |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 105 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Yoyobinks0x5e6a…97f2 | Yes | 100 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 100 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| CashReviver0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | 78 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 78 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 70 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 63 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| 0x9afc…314b | Yes | 54 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 50 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 50 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 41 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 40 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 35 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.