Market · 13 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 102 | 99.4¢ | $102 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 52 | 97.1¢ | $52 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,960 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 101.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.