Market · 9 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xfghxfgh0x0a18…5def | No | 129 | 99.9¢ | $129 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 98 | 99.4¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| BTC-USDT0x9f61…480e | No | 87 | 99.7¢ | $87 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,738 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 1,053 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 102.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.