Market · 9 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xfghxfgh0x0a18…5def | No | 129 | 99.9¢ | $129 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 98 | 99.4¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| BTC-USDT0x9f61…480e | No | 87 | 99.7¢ | $87 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,738 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 1,053 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 904 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 879 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 800 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 8,551 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 658 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 589 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.55 per $100 · 14,402 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 320 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 260 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 245 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ge13140x7840…8b6e | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 178 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 7,320 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 150 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 150 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 88 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$21.94 per $100 · 750 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 67 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 15,300 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 58 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 10,277 bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 83,241 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 112,292 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.08 per $100 · 12,149 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 15 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.51 per $100 · 22,427 bets |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 13 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 9 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 9 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | 8 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.33 per $100 · 55,599+ bets · updating |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| egrsafvafvaer0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Gentledah1st0xe98b…d34b | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 2 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,508+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.