Market · 14 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 164 | 99.4¢ | $164 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 2,161 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| OmwamiJeff0xa1bb…7a53 | Yes | 1,774 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 1,167 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 101.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.