Market · 13 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 102 | 99.4¢ | $102 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 52 | 97.1¢ | $52 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 1,960 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,190 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 83afaf0x7b38…b187 | Yes | 937 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 700 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 589 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 493 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 460 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 88dfhf0xeed8…679c | Yes | 452 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 290 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,491 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 279 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c54…2d86 | Yes | 277 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 260 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,858 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 194 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 110 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| coolibin0x55c1…7db6 | Yes | 110 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$29.03 per $100 · 247 bets |
| ahlook0x7733…26d5 | Yes | 97 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6ced…6ffb | Yes | 93 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 67 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 30 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 15 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,534 bets |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ff6…fd27 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 10 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mel270x6afe…f266 | Yes | 9 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSnostYouLost0xac37…1111 | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.