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Topic · Tech
254 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.6% of Polymarket
Events · markets
91 · 254
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 5
in 86 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? | 9.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.82M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:31 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? |
| 25.5¢ |
| up 2.5 points this week |
| Jan 5 |
| $0.49M |
| ↑$4.0T | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 6.2¢ | down 0.4 points this week | Jan 5 | $0.33M |
| October 31, 2026 | Anthropic IPO by __? | 0.7¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Nov 1 | $0.29M |
| December 31, 2026 | Anthropic IPO by __? | 74.5¢ | down 8.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.26M |
| ↑$1.75T | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 81.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Jan 5 | $0.24M |
| ↑$2.0T | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 75.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Jan 5 | $0.24M |
| ↑$2.5T | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 46.5¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Jan 5 | $0.17M |
| ↑$5.0T | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 3.9¢ | down 0.8 points this week | Jan 5 | $0.16M |
| Anthropic | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 53.9¢ | up 7.7 points this week | Jan 2 | $0.13M |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | 95.3¢ | down 1.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.10M |
| December 31, 2028 | Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? | 18.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $98.7K |
| Anthropic | Which company has the best AI model end of October? | 29.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Oct 31 | $97.5K |
| ↑$1.5T | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 93.0¢ | – | Jan 5 | $92.6K |
| SpaceX | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 45.0¢ | down 3 points this week | Jan 2 | $87.8K |
| November 30, 2026 | Anthropic IPO by __? | 52.5¢ | down 9 points this week | Dec 1 | $63.1K |
| Kraken | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Dec 31 | $62.9K |
| Revolut | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Dec 31 | $62.1K |
| SHEIN | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 2 | $59.8K |
| Databricks | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | no change this week | Dec 31 | $59.2K |
| October 15, 2026 | Anthropic IPO by __? | 0.1¢ | – | Oct 16 | $57.9K |
| OpenAI | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.6¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Dec 31 | $54.7K |
| ↓$800B | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 2.6¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 5 | $53.7K |
| October 31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? | 73.8¢ | down 20.5 points this week | Oct 31 | $52.0K |
| December 31, 2029 | Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? | 21.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $48.6K |
| Anthropic | IPOs before 2027? | 74.0¢ | down 9.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $41.7K |
| December 15, 2026 | Anthropic IPO by __? | 67.0¢ | down 13.5 points this week | Dec 16 | $38.6K |
| Waymo | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Dec 31 | $32.5K |
| 1.8T+ | Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) | 82.5¢ | down 3 points this week | Jan 1 | $31.4K |
| November 15, 2026 | Anthropic IPO by __? | 3.0¢ | down 4.4 points this week | Nov 16 | $31.2K |
| ↓$700B | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 2.5¢ | down 1.1 points this week | Jan 5 | $28.8K |
| Anthropic | Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 41.5¢ | down 11 points this week | Dec 31 | $28.5K |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | 92.0¢ | down 0.5 points this week | Jan 5 | $27.6K |
| 60%+ | Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? | 4.8¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Dec 31 | $22.4K |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 42.5¢ | up 5.5 points this week | Dec 31 | $22.0K |
| ByteDance | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | no change this week | Dec 31 | $20.8K |
| Discord | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Jan 2 | $19.0K |
| ↓$600B | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | 1.9¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Jan 5 | $18.7K |
| 45%+ | Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? | 88.7¢ | down 5.6 points this week | Dec 31 | $18.4K |
| OpenAI | Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 9.8¢ | up 3.1 points this week | Dec 31 | $17.5K |
| $2.0–$2.25T | Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | 29.8¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $17.2K |
| October 24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? | 62.0¢ | down 24.5 points this week | Oct 25 | $16.4K |
| Mistral | Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 0.3¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Dec 31 | $16.0K |
| Stripe | Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | 0.1¢ | – | Dec 31 | $16.0K |
| xAI | Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 1.8¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Dec 31 | $14.0K |
| 55%+ | Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? | 26.0¢ | down 1 point this week | Dec 31 | $13.9K |
| October 17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? | 39.0¢ | down 32 points this week | Oct 18 | $13.4K |
| $1.75–$2.0T | Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | 18.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 1 | $13.0K |
| Meta | Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 2.9¢ | up 1.8 points this week | Dec 31 | $12.9K |
| Moonshot | Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 0.5¢ | up 0.3 points this week | Dec 31 | $12.8K |