Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Anthropic, 1 on OpenAI. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Anthropic | 10,004 | 90.5¢ | $9.2K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 773 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Anthropic | 2,500 | 91.1¢ | $2.3K | Proven |
Shares = Anthropic minus OpenAI for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | Anthropic | 2,500 | 79.0¢ | $2.3K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | Anthropic | 1,358 | 88.9¢ | $1.25K | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | OpenAI | 14,649 | 10.5¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$6.18 per $100 · 355 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | Anthropic | 1,159 | 81.9¢ | $1.07K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play