Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varil0x611f…ec74 | No | 54,973 | 84.0¢ | $44.8K | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 30,000 | 81.8¢ | $24.4K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | Yes | 114,533 | 17.5¢ | $21.2K | New85 settled bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 14,139 | 80.6¢ | $11.5K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 2,259 | 81.0¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 2,000 | 83.0¢ | $1.63K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 88 events · $5.91M in play