Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 5 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jk18880x5e55…8ffd | No | 188,000 | 93.0¢ | $170K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 274 bets |
| feeder-of-markets0x9c9f…e2d2 | No | 100,000 | 93.0¢ | $90.5K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | Yes | 790,089 | 8.1¢ | $75.1K | New85 settled bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 60,625 | 90.4¢ | $54.9K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 57,896 | 93.1¢ | $52.4K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 54,144 | 93.0¢ | $49K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
5 accounts bet both sides equally · 6.47K shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 88 events · $5.92M in play