Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 5 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jk18880x5e55…8ffd | No | 188,000 | 93.0¢ | $170K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 274 bets |
| feeder-of-markets0x9c9f…e2d2 | No | 100,000 | 93.0¢ | $90.5K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | Yes | 790,089 | 8.1¢ | $75.1K | New85 settled bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 60,625 | 90.4¢ | $54.9K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 57,896 | 93.1¢ | $52.4K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 54,144 | 93.0¢ | $49K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 51,891 | 90.3¢ | $47K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | No | 50,000 | 90.4¢ | $45.3K | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 40,000 | 88.4¢ | $36.2K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Lolakis0x401e…6fc9 | No | 20,000 | 91.3¢ | $18.1K | Positive+$1.42 per $100 · 2,251 bets |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | No | 20,000 | 92.0¢ | $18.1K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 1,153 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | No | 20,000 | 90.0¢ | $18.1K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 12,249 | 91.0¢ | $11.1K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| Wunkles0xa9f2…6c8e | No | 10,989 | 91.3¢ | $9.95K | Proven+$3.09 per $100 · 630 bets |
| Mwhale0x9419…a40f | No | 10,000 | 90.0¢ | $9.05K | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 523 bets |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | No | 9,677 | 90.0¢ | $8.76K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| 0xwordjnn0x0bef…3b06 | No | 9,278 | 93.0¢ | $8.4K | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 675 bets |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 5,684 | 94.4¢ | $5.14K | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| 0x5e7b…8767 | No | 5,656 | 91.3¢ | $5.12K | Proven+$10.13 per $100 · 279 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 5,240 | 90.4¢ | $4.74K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| Aikal0xb5ad…69df | No | 4,900 | 91.3¢ | $4.43K | New26 settled bets |
| tourists0xc6dd…4b9f | No | 4,714 | 87.0¢ | $4.27K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 929 bets |
| Medoed690x4a98…3113 | No | 4,500 | 91.3¢ | $4.07K | Proven+$2.77 per $100 · 182 bets |
| bazooka10x031d…6570 | No | 3,700 | 92.2¢ | $3.35K | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 234 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 3,250 | 91.3¢ | $2.94K | New39 settled bets |
| 0x0dfd…f132 | No | 3,013 | 90.4¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$42.82 per $100 · 271 bets |
| ChungChung10x8ec7…4a76 | No | 2,812 | 90.4¢ | $2.54K | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 671 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 2,198 | 91.0¢ | $1.99K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 2,151 | 92.9¢ | $1.95K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| GidGud0x4867…a6f8 | No | 2,062 | 93.0¢ | $1.87K | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 2,793 bets |
| viyolinka0x3939…6d6c | No | 2,000 | 92.0¢ | $1.81K | Break-even+$0.54 per $100 · 127 bets |
| 0x4679…7678 | No | 1,859 | 91.3¢ | $1.68K | New1 settled bet |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,531 | 94.0¢ | $1.39K | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 29,886+ bets · updating |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 1,300 | 91.3¢ | $1.18K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| 0xa8ca…7d8f | No | 1,200 | 92.0¢ | $1.09K | New92 settled bets |
| slobod0xab2d…b1aa | No | 1,116 | 93.0¢ | $1.01K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,592 bets |
| 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | 1,099 | 91.3¢ | $995 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 1,073 | 94.3¢ | $971 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 1,000 | 93.0¢ | $905 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 1,000 | 91.3¢ | $905 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| Noooooooop0xc315…fe18 | No | 1,000 | 93.5¢ | $905 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 508 bets |
| heyranos0x4ddc…c06f | No | 895 | 93.0¢ | $810 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 150 bets |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | No | 800 | 91.3¢ | $724 | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 770 | 90.0¢ | $696 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| precision1k0x6aa2…d5f4 | No | 733 | 91.3¢ | $663 | New14 settled bets |
| Roht0x4fc1…ec92 | No | 700 | 91.3¢ | $634 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 8,835 bets |
| ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec910x4569…ec91 | No | 605 | 91.3¢ | $548 | New67 settled bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 600 | 94.0¢ | $543 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | No | 600 | 92.0¢ | $543 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | Yes | 904 | 19.8¢ | $86 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 400 | 6.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| rocky420030x2e62…b22e | Yes | 300 | 10.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 10,636 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 201 | 10.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | 182 | 11.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 809 bets |
| 0x1ab1…bb62 | Yes | 111 | 9.3¢ | $11 | Proven+$19.97 per $100 · 790 bets |
| Yuristos0xe5d3…8380 | Yes | 100 | 10.4¢ | $10 | New10 settled bets |
| 0xc1e1…6aaf | Yes | 96 | 11.7¢ | $9 | New35 settled bets |
| 0x6729…d586 | Yes | 74 | 10.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.19 per $100 · 231 bets |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 33 | 6.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 533 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 32 | 8.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | Yes | 30 | 10.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| Thingol0x6934…daa2 | Yes | 18 | 11.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$11.37 per $100 · 113 bets |
| sahamies0x5dbc…e3c7 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $1 | New60 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 7 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 21,994 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 0 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
5 accounts bet both sides equally · 6.47K shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 88 events · $5.91M in play