Market · 11 of 15 outcomes
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 56,086 | 0.1¢ | $84 | Positive+$39.16 per $100 · 1,739 bets |
| ytyhfghf54550x5d79…8a19 | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 7,100 | 0.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$12.17 per $100 · 3,925 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| tmleafs0x7a85…3c54 | Yes | 6,071 | 0.2¢ | $9 | — |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 5,064 | 0.2¢ | $8 | New45 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 102.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.