Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 13,808 | 1.3¢ | $400 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 12,014 | 2.7¢ | $348 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Avotoast0xcddc…a8cf |
| Yes |
| 10,000 |
| 1.4¢ |
| $290 |
| — |
| hahaha130x491e…667f | Yes | 8,448 | 1.8¢ | $245 | New42 settled bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 250 | 97.8¢ | $243 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 7,206 | 1.9¢ | $209 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 91 events · $5.94M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.