Market · 7 of 15 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 27,119 | 0.4¢ | $149 | — |
| 286c660x3c85…b62d | No | 127 | 99.7¢ | $126 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 110 | 99.8¢ | $110 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 18,677 | 0.5¢ | $103 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 8,000 | 0.2¢ | $44 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 6,963 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 100 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.