Market · 9 of 15 outcomes
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 153 | 99.6¢ | $152 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 678686887880x14ee…597b | No | 133 | 99.5¢ | $132 | — |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 18,130 | 0.6¢ | $82 | New45 settled bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 15,699 | 0.5¢ | $71 | — |
| PMPD0x90c1…f6be | Yes | 11,164 | 1.6¢ | $50 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 45 | 99.7¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.