Market · 9 of 15 outcomes
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 153 | 99.6¢ | $152 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| 678686887880x14ee…597b | No | 133 | 99.5¢ | $132 | — |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 18,130 | 0.6¢ | $82 | New45 settled bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 15,699 | 0.5¢ | $71 | — |
| PMPD0x90c1…f6be | Yes | 11,164 | 1.6¢ | $50 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 45 | 99.7¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 8,150 | 0.5¢ | $37 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 7,719 | 0.7¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 6,323 | 0.3¢ | $28 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 6,083 | 0.8¢ | $27 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| qing1230xfff8…9cd6 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.0¢ | $18 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 3,197 | 0.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.83 per $100 · 218,207+ bets · updating |
| 0xee8a…f0b0 | Yes | 2,316 | 0.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x8a34…0a4d | Yes | 2,123 | 4.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x4917…e9c7 | Yes | 1,472 | 0.7¢ | $7 | — |
| plygd0xf077…a95c | Yes | 1,333 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Stann0xdf7e…6d4d | Yes | 1,250 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| fghyf5560x9298…2e6a | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
| YaMaGo4i0xc4e9…795d | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x456b…a3ef | Yes | 893 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| nova.super0x6c55…a595 | Yes | 622 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| marvin-abc0xd960…ed40 | Yes | 553 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 523 | 2.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 522 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 500 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 470 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 466 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 452 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| crop?0xe308…309c | Yes | 435 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 425 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| 0x1c44…6021 | Yes | 400 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Superbigote0x7460…31e8 | Yes | 383 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x659d…a037 | Yes | 329 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| iyarsius0xf4e3…fd1f | Yes | 303 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| pabss0xed2a…2606 | Yes | 280 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| marketgravity0xae73…09fa | Yes | 250 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 250 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| 0xfc58…2e9f | Yes | 228 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 51150x6c5f…f483 | Yes | 217 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 200 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 192 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Onejamdjali0x93d2…1778 | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 159 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| Abh1120xd6d5…d453 | Yes | 157 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1ca4…355b | Yes | 146 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 125 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5c74…d223 | Yes | 114 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbd1a…5375 | Yes | 114 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 105 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,457 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 90 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 78sfddsfd0xdf19…0d05 | No | 0 | 92.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.