Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 518 | 95.2¢ | $508 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| JanusApprentice0x21c0…4827 | No | 436 | 92.1¢ | $428 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 384 | 88.7¢ | $378 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| JungPung0x6339…ad29 | Yes | 20,811 | 1.6¢ | $375 | Positive+$57.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akum40xe393…8364 | No | 281 | 91.6¢ | $276 | — |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | No | 233 | 82.7¢ | $229 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 91 events · $5.94M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.